Description

This analysis provides a forecast of RIOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-20 4.585825 5.216205 5.909815 6.730959 7.678275 8.738874 10.019100
2025-04-27 3.780737 4.611994 5.598686 6.861285 8.441249 10.362363 12.889455
2025-05-04 3.339400 4.289799 5.483342 7.102704 9.258475 12.051808 15.981346
2025-05-11 2.873506 3.844400 5.119166 6.931312 9.466777 12.926038 18.067790
2025-05-18 2.544284 3.524343 4.861264 6.840030 9.731326 13.858952 20.301005
2025-05-25 2.285858 3.264825 4.646125 6.765322 9.984435 14.771766 22.582451
2025-06-01 2.061180 3.025436 4.427708 6.649741 10.145851 15.542338 24.712847
2025-06-08 1.864771 2.805641 4.211931 6.507016 10.236421 16.194161 26.708759
2025-06-15 1.792118 2.764371 4.258405 6.770854 10.990196 17.972639 30.787289
2025-06-22 1.684415 2.656943 4.189092 6.836329 11.416993 19.245411 34.138340
2025-06-29 1.566964 2.522617 4.062897 6.791231 11.644424 20.190174 37.002505
2025-07-06 1.456010 2.388990 3.925086 6.710267 11.795161 21.005712 39.713910
2025-07-13 1.402256 2.348265 3.941929 6.905328 12.470597 22.867076 44.737084
2025-07-20 1.343567 2.293904 3.930051 7.046477 13.059484 24.630531 49.810390
2025-07-27 1.306475 2.273801 3.975622 7.295942 13.878483 26.929973 56.324490
2025-08-03 1.210445 2.140217 3.805422 7.119567 13.839671 27.500705 59.168554
2025-08-10 1.134719 2.037823 3.684030 7.025590 13.954945 28.396913 62.858501
2025-08-17 1.067898 1.946870 3.576628 6.948668 14.095551 29.358198 66.828512
2025-08-24 1.001553 1.851914 3.454139 6.829667 14.133565 30.097403 70.369483
2025-08-31 0.937427 1.756655 3.323853 6.682724 14.095283 30.659679 73.552247
2025-09-07 0.925037 1.761283 3.390345 6.954364 15.008407 33.494447 82.904096
2025-09-14 0.891222 1.720844 3.363063 7.021781 15.465589 35.313690 89.890180
2025-09-21 0.848199 1.658815 3.287007 6.975346 15.653531 36.505566 95.368367